Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.042443 0.049379 0.057087 0.066292 0.076986 0.089022 0.103605
2025-11-23 0.031418 0.040421 0.051466 0.066019 0.084704 0.107912 0.138970
2025-11-30 0.025560 0.035509 0.048669 0.067362 0.093266 0.127954 0.178050
2025-12-07 0.021011 0.031083 0.045256 0.066668 0.098258 0.143254 0.212431
2025-12-14 0.017412 0.027194 0.041709 0.064837 0.100850 0.154953 0.242749
2025-12-21 0.014657 0.024024 0.038596 0.062941 0.102718 0.165378 0.272079
2025-12-28 0.013128 0.022484 0.037681 0.064191 0.109449 0.183897 0.316367
2026-01-04 0.011699 0.020867 0.036362 0.064494 0.114506 0.200129 0.358803
2026-01-11 0.010480 0.019414 0.035085 0.064617 0.119144 0.216047 0.402581
2026-01-18 0.009565 0.018362 0.034344 0.065535 0.125220 0.235088 0.454293
2026-01-25 0.008883 0.017641 0.034086 0.067270 0.132954 0.257969 0.516027
2026-02-01 0.007832 0.016062 0.032008 0.065221 0.133107 0.266475 0.550816
2026-02-08 0.007103 0.015041 0.030912 0.065031 0.137042 0.283064 0.604604
2026-02-15 0.006418 0.014019 0.029688 0.064420 0.140047 0.298190 0.657518
2026-02-22 0.005986 0.013474 0.029369 0.065661 0.147097 0.322511 0.733340
2026-03-01 0.005439 0.012600 0.028237 0.064972 0.149819 0.337875 0.791343
2026-03-08 0.004871 0.011603 0.026709 0.063184 0.149818 0.347195 0.836729
2026-03-15 0.004366 0.010684 0.025241 0.061336 0.149417 0.355513 0.880809
2026-03-22 0.004120 0.010349 0.025077 0.062554 0.156452 0.381951 0.972207
2026-03-29 0.003838 0.009891 0.024562 0.062849 0.161261 0.403647 1.054720
2026-04-05 0.003573 0.009440 0.024008 0.062969 0.165642 0.424814 1.138731
2026-04-12 0.003374 0.009130 0.023768 0.063864 0.172130 0.452062 1.242363
2026-04-19 0.003229 0.008947 0.023827 0.065555 0.180937 0.486355 1.369611